Thursday, August 12, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

Midwest      
Scattered thunderstorms, some severe, are forecast for the Dakotas, Nebraska, Minnesota and Iowa today. Flash flooding is possible in Minnesota and Iowa. Some rivers in Iowa have seen all-time record flood levels. The Great Lakes region will be mainly dry while the Ohio Valley will see isolated thunderstorm activity. The central and southern Plains will be dry, but the oppressive heat is forecast to continue for another couple of days. Parts of Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Missouri may see high temperatures of over 100 degrees. High temperatures along with high humidity will raise the heat index to over 115 degrees in many locations.
South
Portions of the South will see pockets of heavy rain or scattered thunderstorms. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast across parts of eastern Kentucky, eastern Tennessee, Virginia and North Carolina. Portions of the Gulf Coast will see locally heavy rain due to the remnants of Tropical Depression Five. Localized flooding is possible over parts of southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
Northeast
 Scattered thunderstorms are forecast from Upstate New York to the Chesapeake Bay, but the thunderstorms are not expected to become severe. There is only a slight chance of isolated thunderstorms over most of New England but severe thunderstorms are possible over the mid-Atlantic.
West
 Showers and thunderstorms are forecast from eastern Idaho to Montana and down to northern Wyoming. The higher elevations of Arizona and New Mexico will see less thunderstorm activity than last week. The Desert Southwest will see high temperatures from 105 to 110 degrees.
(NOAA and media sources)

Iowa Flooding

Three to eight inches of rain fell in central Iowa over the past few days and caused flooding in several locations. A nearly stationary frontal system over Iowa brought thunderstorm activity to an area from near Oskaloosa, Iowa in Mahaska County to Sac City, Iowa in Sac County. Several river gauges are at major flood stage with a few gauges forecast to crest at or near record flood stage. Major impacts from these thunderstorms are power outages, emergency crews performing rescues, and numerous road closures. Forty-nine counties issued local emergency declarations. A boil water order was issued for the city of Ames (population 56,000), Story County, due to a water main break. The Region VII Regional Watch remains at Steady State, 6:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. CDT but a FEMA liaison is deployed to the state Emergency Operations Center.

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

The well pressure remains stable and is declining at a rate of 5 lbs per square inch per hour. Drilling operations are on hold until the passage of the remnants of Tropical Depression Five. Approximately 665 miles of coastline are impacted. NOAA reopened 5,144 square miles to finfish harvest but the area closed to all fishing covers 52,395 square miles or approximately 22% of the Gulf of Mexico’s exclusive economic zone.
(NIC Daily SitRep)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (HQ FEMA)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico: 
The remnants of Tropical Depression Five are now a broad area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of Mexico located just east of southeastern Louisiana. The low is expected to move inland along the north-central Gulf coast by early this morning and there is a low chance, near zero percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. This low could still produce locally heavy rains and strong gusty winds in squalls to portions of the north-central Gulf coast through this morning. Another low pressure system located 850 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing minimal shower activity. Upper level winds are not conducive for development and there is a low chance, near 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. There is also a tropical wave located 200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles but there is a low chance, near 10 percent, of that system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
An area of low pressure is located 375 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further slow development and this low could become a tropical depression during the next 48 hours. There is a high chance, near 60 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific: 
Thunderstorm activity located 800 miles south of Honolulu, Hawaii has a low chance, near 10 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity expected during the next 48 hours.
(NOAA, JTWC) 

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Wednesday, August 11, 2010:
 
Initial attack activity: Light (190 new fires), new large fires: 7, large fires contained: 4
Uncontained large fires: 10, U.S. States affected:  ID, UT, CA, MT, WY, OK, TX, VA, LA, SD & NV.
(NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Wisconsin received a Presidential disaster declaration (FEMA-1933-DR-WI) on August 11, 2010, for severe storms, tornadoes, and flooding from July 20-24, 2010. Public Assistance was approved for Grant and Milwaukee Counties and all counties are eligible for the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program. The Federal Coordinating Officer for the disaster is Paul J. Ricciuti.

Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-3311-EM-RI amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for emergency protective measures (Category B), limited to direct Federal assistance, at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-1916-DR-MS amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G) at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 7 to FEMA-1912-DR-KY amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G) at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 11 to FEMA-1909-DR-TN amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G), including direct Federal assistance, at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 5 to FEMA-1906-DR-MS amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G), including direct Federal assistance, at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 6 to FEMA-1894-DR-RI amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G) at 90 percent of total eligible costs.
(HQ FEMA)

Fema

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

Midwest
Thunderstorms are forecast from the Northern Plains to the upper Mississippi Valley. A few of these storms will be severe and may include hail, high winds, and lightning. A few storms are also possible in central and southern Michigan.

South
The remnants of Tropical Depression 5 are interacting with a weak frontal boundary and southeast Texas to the Carolinas can expect isolated to scattered thunderstorms. The heaviest rain will be in the southern Louisiana and Mississippi area and flash flooding is possible. Areas of heavy rain can also be expected in eastern Tennessee, southeastern Kentucky and in the Appalachians. Areas in north Texas and Arkansas will see high temperatures approach 100 with very high humidity.

Northeast
Showers and/or thunderstorms are possible over much of New York State later in the day. The rest of the region will experience a dry and sunny day.

West
Scattered thunderstorm activity will continue around the Four Corners area. Stronger storms could contain flooding downpours and strong wind gusts as well as dangerous lightning. The strong wind gusts ahead of these storms may produce local dust storms. A few thunderstorms could also move over eastern Montana into much of central and southern Wyoming. The remainder of the region should be dry. In the Southwest, high temperatures will range from the 100 to 115 degrees. (NOAA and media sources)

Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Peak

The official hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin (Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico) runs from June 1 to November 30. Major hurricanes can occur at any time during this season.  According to historical data, most tropical cyclone activity occurs between mid to late August and mid to late October, with the peak of the hurricane season occurring around mid September. As we enter into the peak of the 2010 hurricane season, it is important to review their emergency plans for hurricane associated hazards such as; storm surge, high winds, tornadoes, and flooding. The best way to survive a hurricane and minimize its impact is to be prepared before it strikes. For more information, see the National Hurricane Center’s Hurricane Preparedness website: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/intro.shtml. (NOAA)

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

The well pressure remains stable and well integrity monitoring is ongoing with sonar surveys and visual inspections. Drill Rig III is conducting in–place Blowout Preventer (BOP) testing. Drill Rig II continues rig maintenance and is preparing to temporarily abandon the well. Approximately 680 miles of coastline is impacted by the spill and shoreline cleanup efforts continue. (NIC Daily SitRep Update)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave over the west-central and southwestern Caribbean Sea has a low chance, near 20 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Central, Eastern and Western Pacific:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours. (NOAA, JTWC)

Earthquake Activity

No significant activity. (USGS)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Wednesday, August 18, 2010:

Initial attack activity: light (188 new fires), new large fires: 3, large fires contained: 2 Uncontained large fires: 4, U.S. States affected: OR, WA, ID, UT, AR, OK, MT, and CA. (NIFC)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)
FEMA-1931-DR-TX, Amendment #2 closes the incident period for this disaster effective August 14, 2010.
FEMA-1931-DR-TX, Amendment #3 adds 1 county for Public Assistance effective August 19, 2010.
FEMA-3313-EM-TX, Amendment #1 closes the incident period for this disaster effective August 14, 2010. (FEMA HQ) 

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

Midwest      
Scattered thunderstorms, some severe, are forecast for the Dakotas, Nebraska, Minnesota and Iowa today. Flash flooding is possible in Minnesota and Iowa. Some rivers in Iowa have seen all-time record flood levels. The Great Lakes region will be mainly dry while the Ohio Valley will see isolated thunderstorm activity. The central and southern Plains will be dry, but the oppressive heat is forecast to continue for another couple of days. Parts of Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Missouri may see high temperatures of over 100 degrees. High temperatures along with high humidity will raise the heat index to over 115 degrees in many locations.
South
Portions of the South will see pockets of heavy rain or scattered thunderstorms. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast across parts of eastern Kentucky, eastern Tennessee, Virginia and North Carolina. Portions of the Gulf Coast will see locally heavy rain due to the remnants of Tropical Depression Five. Localized flooding is possible over parts of southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
Northeast
 Scattered thunderstorms are forecast from Upstate New York to the Chesapeake Bay, but the thunderstorms are not expected to become severe. There is only a slight chance of isolated thunderstorms over most of New England but severe thunderstorms are possible over the mid-Atlantic.
West
 Showers and thunderstorms are forecast from eastern Idaho to Montana and down to northern Wyoming. The higher elevations of Arizona and New Mexico will see less thunderstorm activity than last week. The Desert Southwest will see high temperatures from 105 to 110 degrees.
(NOAA and media sources)

Iowa Flooding

Three to eight inches of rain fell in central Iowa over the past few days and caused flooding in several locations. A nearly stationary frontal system over Iowa brought thunderstorm activity to an area from near Oskaloosa, Iowa in Mahaska County to Sac City, Iowa in Sac County. Several river gauges are at major flood stage with a few gauges forecast to crest at or near record flood stage. Major impacts from these thunderstorms are power outages, emergency crews performing rescues, and numerous road closures. Forty-nine counties issued local emergency declarations. A boil water order was issued for the city of Ames (population 56,000), Story County, due to a water main break. The Region VII Regional Watch remains at Steady State, 6:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. CDT but a FEMA liaison is deployed to the state Emergency Operations Center.

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

The well pressure remains stable and is declining at a rate of 5 lbs per square inch per hour. Drilling operations are on hold until the passage of the remnants of Tropical Depression Five. Approximately 665 miles of coastline are impacted. NOAA reopened 5,144 square miles to finfish harvest but the area closed to all fishing covers 52,395 square miles or approximately 22% of the Gulf of Mexico’s exclusive economic zone.
(NIC Daily SitRep)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (HQ FEMA)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico: 
The remnants of Tropical Depression Five are now a broad area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of Mexico located just east of southeastern Louisiana. The low is expected to move inland along the north-central Gulf coast by early this morning and there is a low chance, near zero percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. This low could still produce locally heavy rains and strong gusty winds in squalls to portions of the north-central Gulf coast through this morning. Another low pressure system located 850 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing minimal shower activity. Upper level winds are not conducive for development and there is a low chance, near 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. There is also a tropical wave located 200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles but there is a low chance, near 10 percent, of that system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
An area of low pressure is located 375 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further slow development and this low could become a tropical depression during the next 48 hours. There is a high chance, near 60 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Central Pacific: 
Thunderstorm activity located 800 miles south of Honolulu, Hawaii has a low chance, near 10 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity expected during the next 48 hours.
(NOAA, JTWC) 

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Wednesday, August 11, 2010:
 
Initial attack activity: Light (190 new fires), new large fires: 7, large fires contained: 4
Uncontained large fires: 10, U.S. States affected:  ID, UT, CA, MT, WY, OK, TX, VA, LA, SD & NV.
(NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Wisconsin received a Presidential disaster declaration (FEMA-1933-DR-WI) on August 11, 2010, for severe storms, tornadoes, and flooding from July 20-24, 2010. Public Assistance was approved for Grant and Milwaukee Counties and all counties are eligible for the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program. The Federal Coordinating Officer for the disaster is Paul J. Ricciuti.

Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-3311-EM-RI amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for emergency protective measures (Category B), limited to direct Federal assistance, at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-1916-DR-MS amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G) at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 7 to FEMA-1912-DR-KY amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G) at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 11 to FEMA-1909-DR-TN amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G), including direct Federal assistance, at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 5 to FEMA-1906-DR-MS amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G), including direct Federal assistance, at 90 percent of total eligible costs.

Amendment No. 6 to FEMA-1894-DR-RI amends the cost-sharing arrangement effective July 29, 2010, to provide Federal funds for all categories of Public Assistance (Categories A-G) at 90 percent of total eligible costs.
(HQ FEMA)

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

Midwest
Showers and thunderstorms are forecast across the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley with a few isolated severe storms possible. High temperatures are expected across the Northern and Central Plains into Thursday.
South
Intense heat continues, but isolated thunderstorms could bring brief relief to portions of Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky and North Carolina. Heavy rains are forecast across portions of the Florida Peninsula.
Northeast 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms could bring strong winds and hail to portions of New England today. Showers and thunderstorms will develop southward into the Mid-Atlantic region as cooler air enters into the region but severe weather is not likely. Slightly cooler, drier air will bring welcome relief to northern New York and northern New England, but high temperatures and humidity are expected to continue throughout the rest of the region.
West 
Isolated, scattered storms are expected from eastern Washington and Oregon to western Montana. Widespread severe weather is not expected with these storms, although a few could produce locally strong winds. Fire danger will remain high through portions of the Great Basin and a few isolated thunderstorms are possible across the higher terrain of Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, and Colorado through Thursday.
(NOAA and media sources)

Excessive Heat – Forecast and Hazards

NOAA’s National Weather Service Forecast Hazards Assessment indicates that excessive heat conditions will continue in the southern United States during the next three to five days. Heat indices of 105-110 degrees will persist in more than 10 states. The heat index is a measure of how hot it feels when the relative humidity is factored in with the actual air temperature. According to the NWS, heat is actually the number one weather related killer in the United States; ranking higher than floods, lightning, tornadoes, and hurricanes combined. The hazards from excessive heat may include sunburn, heat cramps, heat exhaustion, heat stroke or hyperthermia. Hyperthermia is a condition in which the body absorbs more heat than it can dissipate and is a major threat for children, adults, and pets in enclosed vehicles. With an outside temperature of 80 degrees, temperatures inside a car can rise to 123 degrees in sixty minutes and leaving the windows slightly open does not significantly decrease the heating rate.  For more information regarding the products that the NWS Weather Forecast Offices produce to help prepare and plan for excessive heat, as well as details regarding the hazards and effects, please see the National Weather Service article, “Heat: a Major Killer” on their website:  http://www.weather.gov/om/heat/index.shtml.  
(NOAA)

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

Well pressure remains stable. Drilling operations are on hold until the passage of Tropical Depression 5. 
On August 10, NOAA reopened 5,144 square miles to finfish harvest only. The area closed to all fishing covers 52,395 square miles or approximately 22% of the Gulf of Mexico exclusive economic zone.
(NIC Daily SitRep Update)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (HQ FEMA)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico: 
Tropical Depression #5 is located approximately 290 miles east-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River moving toward the northwest at 10 mph. On the forecast track, the center of the system will approach the north central Gulf of Mexico by Thursday morning. Slow strengthening is expected and the depression is forecast to become a Tropical Storm later today. Total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle through Friday morning. A tropical storm warning is in effect for Destin, Florida to Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and New Orleans.
Another well-defined low pressure area is located about 750 miles northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands and is marginally conducive for development. There is a high chance, near 70 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Finally, there is also a tropical wave located about 625 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands but any development with this system should be slow to occur. There is a low chance, near 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific
The remnant low Estelle is located approximately 450 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico moving slowly east-southeastward. Redevelopment of this low is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. Another low pressure area is located about 330 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico but as with the other system, development is not likely due to unfavorable upper-level winds. There is a low chance, near 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. A third area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec moving slowly westward to west-northwest. Some slow development is possible and there is a low chance, near 20 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Central and Western Pacific: 
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 48 hours. 
 (NOAA, JTWC) 

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

On August 10, 2010, the President signed major disaster declaration FEMA-1932-DR to provide assistance to Kansas for damages resulting from severe storms, flooding and tornadoes from June 7 to July 21, 2010. The declaration approves Public Assistance for 34 counties will all counties eligible to apply for the Hazard Mitigation Grants Program. The Federal Coordinating Officer for this disaster is Michael R. Scott.
(HQ FEMA)

Disaster Declaration Activity

On August 10, 2010, the President signed major disaster declaration FEMA-1932-DR to provide assistance to Kansas for damages resulting from severe storms, flooding and tornadoes from June 7 to July 21, 2010. The declaration approves Public Assistance for 34 counties will all counties eligible to apply for the Hazard Mitigation Grants Program. The Federal Coordinating Officer for this disaster is Michael R. Scott.
(HQ FEMA)

Friday, August 13, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

Midwest
Rain and thunderstorms are forecast today over the central U.S. bringing more river flooding to Iowa. By late today, thunderstorms will extend from northern Wisconsin and Minnesota down to northeast Kansas. A few of the storms could become severe, with large hail and gusty winds. Areas from the Great Lakes to the Ohio Valley will remain dry. The Southern Plains will see high temperatures of over 100, with the Ohio Valley seeing high temperatures in the 90s.
The oppressive heat gripping the Mississippi valley and portions of the Midwest will begin to weaken a little over the weekend.
South
The remnants of Tropical Depression Five will bring increased moisture to the region as it moves northward from the Gulf Coast. Heavy rain will move from Louisiana to inland areas over the weekend.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast from Louisiana eastward to the Carolinas. Louisiana and Mississippi could see locally heavy rain and localized flooding. The recent heat wave in the region will diminish due to clouds and precipitation, but humidity will remain high and may bring heat indices ranging from 110 to 115 degrees.
Northeast
Scattered thunderstorm activity will continue across the mid-Atlantic region while Upstate New York will see less precipitation. Much of New England will remain dry.
West
A cold front is shaping up over the Intermountain West this morning and is expected to make its way into the central plains during the day. Parts of Idaho, Montana and northern Wyoming will see showers and cool temperatures today. Elevations above 7,000 feet in northwestern Montana may see one to three inches of snow. The higher elevations of southeast Arizona and New Mexico will see isolated thunderstorm activity. High temperatures will increase and move across the Southwest over the weekend and will spread up through central California and the Pacific Northwest. The Desert Southwest will see highs up to 110 degrees, with Death Valley seeing highs of 120 degrees. The West Coast will see highs only in the 60s.(NOAA’s National Weather Service, the Hydro meteorological Prediction Center and media sources)

Southeast Severe Weather

A line of severe storms affected the Maryland, Virginia, and Washington D.C. metro area early Thursday morning, August 12, 2010. A second line of storms moved through the area early in the evening. The storms produced heavy rain, quarter-sized hail, and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph.
The storms caused widespread power outages, flash flooding, downed trees,  motorists stranded in high water, and several building collapses due to downed trees crashing through buildings.
The storms caused delays for commuter rail and buses due to power outages (traffic signals not working) and downed trees and debris blocking tracks and roadways. One subway station was closed due to power outage and flooding inside the station. There were over 100,000 without power across the entire region at the height of the storm. As of 1:00 a.m. EDT this morning, 43,000 customers remain without power.

Iowa Flooding

Over the past few days, a nearly stationary frontal system over Iowa brought strong thunderstorms and heavy rain to a large portion of central Iowa from near Oskaloosa (Mahaska County) to Sac City (Sac County). Since August 8, three to eight inches of rain have fallen, causing river and flash flooding in many locations in central Iowa. More rain and additional flooding is forecast through the weekend. The areas of most concern are along the Skunk, Des Moines and Raccoon Rivers. Along these rivers, five river gauges are at major flood stage with four expected to remain at major flood stage over the next 48 hours. A few gauges are expected to crest at or near record flood stage. Agricultural levees along the Skunk and Des Moines Rivers remain at risk due to the continuing heavy rainfall. Two water treatment plants surrounded by levees, one at Ames and the other at Oskaloosa, also remain at risk. Major impacts from these thunderstorms have been power outages, residential flooding, numerous downed trees, and road closures.  Five highways have been closed due to flooding and approximately 1,000 customers remain without power (down from 8,000). There is one confirmed storm-related fatality and numerous injuries have been reported. Region VII Regional Watch is at Level III (Monitoring) with extended hours, 6:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. CDT. Two FEMA LNOs have been deployed to the Iowa EOC.

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

Well pressure remains stable and is decreasing at a rate of 5 psi per hour. Drilling operations have been on hold until the passage of the remnants of Tropical Depression Five.  Approximately 669 miles of coastline is currently oiled in AL, FL, LA, MS, and TX. Shoreline cleanup efforts continue. 52,395 miles of Gulf Exclusive Economic Zone remains closed to fishing. Approximately 78% of the Gulf of Mexico federal waters are open to commercial fishing. (NIC Daily SitRep Update, DHS SLB Deepwater Horizon Response, JIC Ongoing Administration-Wide Response) 

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (HQ FEMA) 

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico:
Remnants of Tropical Depression Five
 
At 2:00 a.m. EDT, a broad area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Five remains located near the coast of southern Mississippi. The low is expected to produce locally heavy rains and occasionally gusty winds in squalls as it moves inland over the next 24 to 48 hours. There is a LOW chance (near 0%) of this system re-developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. Localized flooding is possible over southern Louisiana and coastal Mississippi.
Eastern Pacific:
Area of Disturbed Weather (1)

At 2:00 a.m. EDT, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of disturbed weather is located 150 miles west-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Although conditions appear favorable for tropical storm formation, land interaction could inhibit development of this system by the weekend. There is still a high chance (70%) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours as it moves slowly northwestward.
Central Pacific: 
No tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday, August 14, 2010.
Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity affecting United States Territories.(NOAA, NWS, HPC, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

At 7:54 a.m. EDT on August 12, 2010, a magnitude 7.1 earthquake occurred 90 miles east of Ambato, Ecuador at a depth of 131 miles. There were no reports of serious injury, or damage and no tsunami was generated.(USGS)
 

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Thursday, August 12, 2010:
 
Initial attack activity:  Light (177 new fires)
New large fires:  1
Large fires contained:  4
Uncontained large fires:  6
States Affected:  ID, CA, MT, WY, OK, and TX. (NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-1925-DR-KY for the State of Kentucky was approved on August 12 and adds three counties for Individual Assistance and one county for Public Assistance.
The JFO for FEMA-1901-DR-ND has been approved to close at close of business on August 27, 2010.
The JFO for FEMA-3309-EM-ND has been approved to close at close of business on August 27, 2010.

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

West: 
Flash flooding will remain a possibility in the Four Corners region especially across western Colorado and northern New Mexico. There is also a slight risk of severe thunderstorms over northeastern Colorado, southwestern Nebraska, and northwestern Kansas. Red Flag fire risk conditions are in effect in Idaho as isolated dry thunderstorms are possible from eastern Oregon into central Idaho. High temperatures in the 90-100 degree range will persist in the Desert Southwest and dry, hot conditions will continue across much of southern and central California and into southern Nevada. 
Midwest:
A cold front will extend from southern Oklahoma into Tennessee and provide relief from the recent excessive heat. Ahead of this front, a broad area of instability will bring numerous thunderstorms, some of which may become supercells in western Nebraska and northwestern Kansas. The threat of severe thunderstorms continues across portions of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Dangerous heat and humidity continues across portions of southern Oklahoma and eastern Texas with high temperatures surpassing 100 degrees.
South:
An excessive heat warning was issued for portions of the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys where temperatures exceeding 115 degrees are possible. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast across the Southeast today. 
Northeast:
A cold front will extend from southern Oklahoma into Tennessee then northeasterly into New England by this afternoon. Ahead of this front, a broad area of strong instability will exist and numerous thunderstorms are expected. The Mid-Atlantic and New England regions are at risk for severe thunderstorms, hail, and high winds by this afternoon.  
(NOAA and media sources)

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

FEMA is providing personnel and equipment support. Static kill operations are complete and the oil flow remains secured. The National Incident Commander has given BP permission to cement the well.  Approximately 650 miles of coastline is impacted and approximately 57,539 square miles in the Gulf of Mexico remain closed to fishing.  
(NIC Daily SitRep Update)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico: 
The remnants of Tropical Storm Colin is now a broad area of low pressure a few hundred miles north of the Leeward Islands moving northwest at 20 to 25 mph. Satellite images indicate that the associated cloud pattern continues to show signs of organization but surface observations suggest that it lacks a well-defined circulation. Although upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development, the system has the potential to regain tropical storm status later today or on Friday. There is a medium chance, 40 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In addition to Colin, a tropical wave exists over the western Caribbean Sea that may develop further during the next day or two before it moves over Central America. There is a low chance, 20 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific 
An area of low pressure located 100 miles south-southwest of Puerto Escondido, Mexico appears conducive for development at any time during the next day or so. There is a high chance, 70 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Central and Western Pacific: 
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 48 hours. 
(NOAA, JTWC)

Earthquake Activity

A 4.8 magnitude earthquake occurred Wednesday, Aug 4, at 8:04 p.m. EDT approximately 20 miles east northeast of Jackson, Wyo., at a depth of 3.1 miles. There are no reports of significant damage or injury. 
(USGS)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

Rooster Rock Fire – Deschutes National Forest 
This fire in central Oregon has burned approximately 5,500 acres and is currently 30% contained.  Approximately 30 homes nearby were evacuated as a precaution. The cause of the fire is under investigation.
National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Wednesday, August 4, 2010:
 
Initial attack activity: light (159 new fires), new large fires: 2, large fires contained: 2
Uncontained large fires: 8, U.S. States affected: WA, OR, CA, ID, MT, WY, CO, AK & AR
(NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Amendment #1 for FEMA-1923-DR-WY was approved on August 4, 2010 adding Platte County for Public Assistance.
Amendment #2 for FEMA-1922-DR-MT was approved on July 30, 2010 closing the incident period for the disaster effective July 30, 2010. 
(HQ FEMA)    

Friday, July 30, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

West

Under high pressure, most of the region will remain dry except the desert Southwest where isolated showers and thunderstorms will persist throughout the day. The strongest storms will bring lightning, brief heavy rain and wind gusts up to 40 mph in some areas.

Midwest

Thunderstorms are forecast from the western plains to the Mississippi River. Parts of South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, and Missouri could see severe thunderstorms possible of producing heavy rain, gusty winds, and hail. Flash Flooding is possible across Missouri and Illinois.

South

A heat advisory is in effect for southeast Georgia, southern South Carolina, and portions of northeast Florida today as temperatures will produce heat indices of near 115 degrees in some areas. Scattered thunderstorms are expected in the afternoon and evening across northeast Florida and may generate gusty winds and excessive lightning.

Northeast

Under high pressure today, most of the region will remain sunny and dry.   

(NOAA and media sources)

Flooding in Northern Arizona

On July 29 heavy rains continued to impact northern Arizona (Coconino and Navajo Counties) causing flooding and debris flows. In Navajo County, the Navajo and Hopi tribal lands are significantly impacted by the heavy rains and report sewer line, water line, and road damage. FEMA Region IX remains at a Watch/Steady State and a state liaison is on standby. There are no requests for federal assistance. (FEMA Region IX)

Oil/Natural Gas Leak – Barataria Waterway, Louisiana

On July 27, a dredge barge in the Barataria Waterway made impact with an oil/natural gas wellhead owned by the State of Louisiana. The well is releasing oil and gas and is impacting the nearby shoreline and marsh. Approximately 33,000 feet of boom is deployed to contain the oil. There is no request for federal assistance. (DHS NOC)

Oil Spill – Marshall, Michigan

On July 26, a 30-inch pipeline ruptured and released 19,500 barrels (819,000 gallons) of oil into Tallmadge Creek near Marshall, Mich. Although the ruptured pipeline is now repaired, the creek is a tributary of the Kalamazoo River so the oil has drifted 30 nautical miles down the river. It is now affecting the waterway south of Augusta, Mich. which is only 55 miles from Lake Michigan. The EPA is providing resources for personnel, oil skimming, containment, and recovery activities. The U.S. Coast Guard is also providing support but no additional federal resources are requested. (Region V)

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

FEMA is providing personnel to the National Integration Center and additional Logistics and External Affairs support to the Federal On-Scene Coordinator. FEMA leads the Social Services and Small Business Interagency Working Group (Claims and Benefits). Approximately 11,652,000 feet of boom has been deployed to date and booming and skimming activities continue in the affected areas. (NIC Daily Situation Update)

Wildfire Activity

National Preparedness Level: 2

National Fire Activity as of Thursday, July 29, 2010:

Initial attack activity: light (267 new fires), new large fires: 6, large fires contained: 5, uncontained large fires: 16, U.S. States affected: NV, CA, MT, ID, CO, OR, WA, AK, & FL

(NIFC)

 

Bull Fire – Kernville, Calif.

Approximately 16,074 acres have been consumed and the fire is reported to be 20 percent contained. The fire destroyed 14 structures and 1,200 structures are threatened. There are 2,060 personnel fighting the fire. FMAG – 2849-CA was approved for this fire on July 27, 2010. 

 

West Fire – Tehachapi, Calif.

Approximately 1,658 acres have been consumed and the fire is reported to be 44 percent contained. To date, 25 structures are destroyed and 150 more are threatened. There are 1,205 personnel fighting the fire with seven helicopters and 107 fire engines. FMAG-2850-CA was approved for this fire on July 27, 2010. 

 

Crown Fire – Northern Los Angeles County, Calif.

Approximately 2,000 acres have been consumed and the fire is reported to be zero percent contained. The fire is threatening the community of Acton, Calif. including major power and communication lines and 2,000 primary residences. Mandatory evacuations are in effect. There are 388 personnel fighting the fire with 51 fire engines. FMAG-2851-CA was approved for this fire on July 30, 2010.

 

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

On July 30, 2010, FMAG-2851-CA was approved for the Crown Fire for Los Angeles, CA on July 30, 2010. 

(FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico:
A westward tropical wave is associated with disorganized clouds and a few thunderstorms over the southeastern Caribbean Sea. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. A second area of disturbed weather located over the Eastern Atlantic is 700 miles southwest of the Cape Verde islands and moving slowly westward. There is a low chance, 20 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Eastern Pacific
A broad area of low pressure centered about 400 hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is beginning to show some signs of organization. Although there are some clouds and thunderstorms, additional development is expected to be slow as it moves west or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. There is a low chance, 20 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Central Pacific:
A low level trough centered about 400 miles south-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is moving west at around 15 mph. There are isolated thunderstorms associated with the trough and there is a low chance, near zero percent, of the system becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

Western Pacific:
No activity.(NOAA, JTWC)

Earthquake Activity

On July 28-29, 2010, three magnitude 6.4 earthquakes, at depths ranging from six to nine miles, were reported in the Aleutian Islands of Alaska. No damages or injuries were reported. (USGS)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Iowa:
The President approved a major disaster declaration (FEMA-1930-DR-IA) for Iowa as a result of severe storms, flooding, and tornadoes that occurred June 1, 2010 and continuing. The declaration makes 32 counties eligible for the Public Assistance Program and all Iowa counties eligible for the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program.

South Dakota:
The President approved a major disaster declaration (FEMA-1929-DR-SD) for South Dakota as a result of severe storms, flooding, and tornadoes that occurred June 16-24, 2010. The declaration makes three counties and the Cheyenne River Indian Reservation eligible for the Public Assistance Program and all South Dakota counties eligible for the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program.

Kentucky:
Amendment #1 to FEMA-1925-DR-KY, effective July 29, 2010, amends the major disaster declaration to make Shelby County eligible for the Public Assistance Program. (FEMA HQ)

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

West:
The region can expect scattered thunderstorms through the next few days. Red Flag Warnings are in effect for the Northern Intermountain Region through tonight; dry lighting is likely. Thunderstorms from central Oregon to Montana could turn severe with strong wind gusts and hail. Thunderstorms and localized flash flooding is possible for the Four Corners states.

Midwest:
A frontal boundary stretching from the Great Lakes to the Central Plains will move across the region. Thunderstorms are forecast along the front as far south as Missouri; damaging wind gusts are possible.

South:
The region will remain hot and humid with temperatures in the upper 90s. Thunderstorms are forecast with the possibility of localized flash-flooding, damaging wind gusts, and small hail.

Northeast:
The region will be generally dry under high pressure with the possibility of a few thunderstorms in the Virginias. Later today, the frontal system moving in off the Great Lakes will produce showers and thunderstorms from Pennsylvania to New England. A few of these storms could turn severe across New York and Pennsylvania with gusty winds the primary threat. Tonight and tomorrow, the cold front and thunderstorms will continue to move across the region.  (NOAA and media sources)

Mid-Atlantic – Severe Thunderstorms

Severe thunderstorms passed through the region on Sunday, July 25.  Approximately 47,000 customers remain without power in the DC Metro area. There is no request for federal assistance.  (FEMA Region III)

Louisiana Barataria Waterway – Wellhead Release

On July 27, a dredge barge made impact with an oil/natural gas wellhead owned by the State of Louisiana. The well is releasing oil and gas and created an oil slick 50 yards wide and 1 nautical mile long along the shoreline and nearby marsh. A 6,000 foot boom was deployed to contain the oil. There is no request for federal assistance.  

(DHS NOC) 

 

Oil Spill – Marshall, Michigan

On July 26, a 30-inch pipeline ruptured and spilled 19,500 barrels (819,000 gallons) of oil into Talmadge Creek and impacting 16 miles of the Kalamazoo River. The Environmental Protection Agency responded but there are no additional requests for Federal assistance.  (Region V) 

 

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

FEMA is providing personnel to the National Integration Center and additional Logistics and External Affairs support to the Federal On-Scene Coordinator. FEMA leads the Social Services and Small Business Interagency Working Group (Claims and Benefits). Booming and skimming continues as weather permits. The spill has impacted approximately 640 miles of coastline. (NIC Daily Situation Update)

Wildfire Activity

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Tuesday, July 27, 2010:
Initial attack activity: light (337 new fires), new large fires: 5, large fires contained: 13
Uncontained large fires: 12, U.S. States affected: NV, CA, WY, MT,UT, ID, CO, WA, AK & FL (NIFC) 

California Wildfires

Bull Fire – Kernville, Calif.
Approximately 4,500 acres have been consumed and 2,000 residents were evacuated. There are 1,200 structures threatened and 296 personnel fighting the fire with 12 helicopters and 23 fire engines. An FMAG – 2849-CA was approved for this fire on July 27, 2010.

West Fire – Tehachapi, Calif.
Approximately 700 acres have been consumed. To date, 30 homes are destroyed, 50 homes faced mandatory evacuation and 400 more evacuated voluntarily. Currently, 150 residences and a wind turbine generating plant is threatened. The fire is 15 percent contained. An FMAG-2850-CA was approved for this fire on July 27, 2010. (FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico:
No tropical cyclone activity is expected in the next 48 hours. Eastern, Central and Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity is expected in the next 48 hours. (NOAA, JTWC) 

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Idaho:
On July 27, 2010, the President signed a major disaster declaration (FEMA-1927-DR-ID) for severe storms and flooding from June 2-10, 2010. Seven counties are eligible to apply for the Public Assistance Program and all counties in the state are eligible to apply for the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program.

Oklahoma:
On July 27, 2010, the President signed a major disaster declaration (FEMA-1926-DR-OK) for severe storms, tornados, straight-line winds and flooding from June 13-15, 2010. Seven counties are eligible to apply for the Public Assistance Program and all counties in the state are eligible to apply for the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program. (FEMA HQ)

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

West: 

A cold front dropping out of Canada will produce thunderstorms in eastern Idaho, southern Montana and northern Wyoming with gusty winds and hail. Isolated thunderstorms are forecast for higher elevations across the West. Red Flag warnings are in effect for much of Oregon and Idaho due to dry lightning, when lightning is observed but little if any precipitation reaches the ground. These lightning strikes could touch off wildfires.

Midwest:

A cold front dropping out of Canada into the northern Midwest will produce severe thunderstorms from the Dakotas to the Great Lakes. The primary threat is gusty winds, but hail and tornadoes are possible. Heavy precipitation is forecast and northern Minnesota could receive as much as 2 inches. The remainder of the region will be dry except for isolated thunderstorms from Missouri to Ohio.

South:

A frontal system draped across the region and moist flow off the Gulf of Mexico will produce widespread precipitation across the region. Showers and scattered thunderstorms will produce gusty winds and localized flash flooding. Severe thunderstorms are expected in Georgia and the Carolinas. Showers and thunderstorms are forecast for the Texas and Louisiana coastlines. South of the front, high temperatures will be in the 90s with high humidity.

Northeast:

Under high pressure, the region will be dry except for possible thunderstorms in parts of the Virginias.   

(NOAA and media sources)

Mid-Atlantic – Severe Thunderstorms

Severe thunderstorms passed through the region Sunday, July 25. Numerous trees were blown down knocking out power to thousands of customers. In Washington, D.C., approximately 7,500 customers are without power. In Maryland, approximately 140,000 customers are without power in Montgomery and Prince Georges counties. There are no requests for federal assistance. (FEMA Region III)

Flooding on the Rio Grande River

The controlled release of water from the Falcon and Amistad reservoirs will keep the Rio Grande River at Rio Grande City, Texas at five feet above flood stage through the week. Voluntary evacuations have been lifted for Hidalgo and Starr counties. All joint Preliminary Damage Assessments are complete. (FEMA Region VI) 

Kentucky Flooding

The President approved a major disaster declaration for Pike County on July 23. Two Mobile Disaster Recovery Centers are staged at the Joint Field Office in Lexington, Ky. The water sewage treatment plant in Pike County remains inoperable and a Boil Water Advisory remains in effect for 25,000 customers. Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments are ongoing. (FEMA Region IV) 

Iowa Flooding

Severe storms moved across south – central Iowa July 23-24. Record flooding on the Maquoketa River caused a 100% failure of the Hartwick Dam on Lake Delhi. The Hopkinton city sewer plant flooded but city drinking water was not contaminated. There are no requests for federal assistance. (FEMA Region V, FEMA Region VII)

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

FEMA is providing personnel to the National Integration Center and additional Logistics and External Affairs support to the Federal On-Scene Coordinator. FEMA leads the Social Services and Small Business Interagency Working Group (Claims and Benefits). Vessels and drill rigs have returned to the scene. The Ram Capping Stack continues to leak minor amounts and is being monitored. Booming, skimming and in situ burning continues as weather permits. The spill has impacted approximately 638 miles of coastline. (NIC Daily Situation Update)

Wildfire Activity

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Monday, July 26, 2010:
Initial attack activity: light (201 new fires), new large fires: 8, large fires contained: 0
Uncontained large fires: 10, U.S. States affected: NV, WY, MT, CA, ID, UT, WY, CO, WA, AK & AZ
(NIFC)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

California
FMAG-2849-CA was issued for the Bull Fire in Kern County, Calif. The fire is zero percent contained and has burned more than 4,500 acres. There have been 500 mandatory evacuations and 1,500 voluntary evacuations. The fire has destroyed 35 structures thus far and 150 residences and 5 businesses are at risk.
(FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico:
No tropical cyclone activity expected in the next 48 hours

Eastern, Central and Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity expected in the next 48 hours

(NOAA, JTWC)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

Oklahoma:
The President approved a major disaster declaration for seven counties in Oklahoma (FEMA-1926-DR-OK) on July 26, 2010 for severe storms, tornadoes, straight line winds and flooding that occurred from June 13-15, 2010. The Public Assistance Program is available to the identified seven counties and all counties in the state are now eligible to apply for Hazard Mitigation Grant Program funds.

Minnesota
Amendment 1 to FEMA-1921-DR-MN adds seven counties for Public Assistance.
(FEMA HQ)

Friday, July 9, 2010

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant Weather

Northeast
Thunderstorms are possible across the region, primarily from central and northern New York into northern Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine. Some metropolitan areas may be impacted late in the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will still be warm with highs in the 70s in western New York to well into the 80s to the east. In the Mid Atlantic, a few isolated thunderstorms are possible, and temperatures will reach the low to mid 90s, especially in the interior areas.
South 
Moisture from the remnants of Tropical Depression-Two will continue to move slowly through northern Mexico and southern Texas over the next two days. Locally heavy rain and thunderstorms are possible as a moist southeasterly flow off the warm Gulf of Mexico remains in place. More flooding can be expected over western and southern Texas. To the north, a nearly stationary front will linger across northern Texas and into Oklahoma and Arkansas, bringing the chance for showers and thunderstorms. Farther east thunderstorms will also affect much of Kentucky and western Tennessee, and heat-generated thunderstorms may pop up across the Deep South. Highs in Texas and Oklahoma will stay mainly in the 70s and 80s, while highs across Georgia, Alabama and Mississippi will again reach well in to the middle 90s.
Midwest 
A cold front affecting the eastern portion of the region will continue to push south today, bringing slightly cooler temperatures to the Midwest and Great Lakes. Isolated thunderstorms may occur near the Ohio River and, late in the day, northern Minnesota and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Temperatures in the middle 80s will remain across the southern half of Wisconsin and Illinois.
West 
Afternoon high temperatures across the west are expected to be mainly in the upper 80s to lower 100s with the exception of coastal and mountain regions, which will be significantly cooler. In the deserts, temperatures could reach 105 to 120 degrees. A few isolated thunderstorms may bring some relief late in the afternoon or evening near the mountains of central and northern California, extreme southern Oregon and central Nevada. Showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon over the mountains of Colorado and northern New Mexico and in eastern New Mexico. Isolated storms may occur in eastern Colorado and throughout the mountains of southern Wyoming, Utah and northern and eastern Arizona.
(NOAA and media sources)

Flooding on the Rio Grande River, Texas – Update

 Rainfall from Tropical Depression-Two will continue to contribute to major flooding along the middle and lower Rio Grande River at the Texas-Mexico border for the next few days. Up to five inches of rain expected during the next two days makes flash flooding possible from Lake Amistad down to McAllen, Texas. At Rio Grande City, Texas the river is expected to rise from moderate to major flood stage.

The International Boundary Water Commission (IBWC) continues to release water from the Falcon Reservoir at Falcon Heights, Texas and Anzalduas Diversion Dam in Hidalgo County, Texas. IBWC crews are working to divert floodwaters into the system of levees, floodways, and dams to protect communities along the river and reports the volume of water is well within the capacity of the U.S. levee system. Evacuations are ongoing on both sides of the border due to expected flooding and flash flooding.

The Rio Grande River is forecast to crest in Laredo today at more than 34 feet above flood stage to a level in excess of 42 feet. As water continues to be released from the Amistad reservoir, the river will remain only slightly above moderate flood stage. Floodwaters are within three feet of the deck of the International Bridge in Laredo and flood operations and close monitoring will continue until the water level significantly declines. Hundreds of homes along the Zacate and Chacon creeks near Laredo remain at risk for flooding.

FEMA Region VI Regional Response Coordination Center is activated at Level III. FEMA staff including the Region VI IMAT team deployed to the Texas State Operations Center. The Region is coordinating with the National Weather Service and the Texas Division of Emergency Management. There have been no requests for Federal assistance.
(FEMA Region VI)

Midwest – Des Moines River Basin Flooding – Update

In the past 30 days, northeastern Iowa received 200-400 percent more than normal rainfall levels including more than 7 inches of rain in the past two days. Moderate to major flooding continues on portions of the Des Moines, Iowa, Wapsipinicon, and Skunk Rivers in Iowa, the Illinois River in Illinois, and the Mississippi River in Iowa, Illinois and Missouri. Most of the rivers will continue to recede through the weekend.

At Ottumwa, the Des Moines River remains at major flood stage, and is expected to crest at 16.4 feet tonight. The Wapsipinicon River is also at major flood stage and will crest at 19 feet by Saturday. At other locations, the river will remain at moderate flood stage for the next few days. Flooding is affecting residences and streets in low-lying areas. The Mississippi River overwhelmed community storm sewers and some floodgates in Hannibal, Missouri. Flash flooding during the past week brought the river at Hannibal to the highest level recorded since 1993.
(NOAA)

Mississippi Canyon 252 Update

FEMA is providing personnel to the National Integration Center and additional Logistics and External Affairs support to the Federal On-Scene Coordinator. FEMA leads the Social Services and Small Business Interagency Working Group (Claims and Benefits). Booming, skimming and in situ burning continues as weather permits. Flow Rate Technical Group (FRTG) estimates the total oil released is between 2.7 to 4.7 million barrels. The estimated oil spill rate is between 35,000 and 60,000 barrels per day with approximately 520 miles of coastline impacted thus far. The Gulf of Mexico exclusive economic zone closure to commercial and recreational fishing remains at 81,181 square miles or approximately 34% of the Gulf of Mexico.
(NIC Daily Situation Update)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No activity. (FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico: 
On July 8, around 11:00 a.m. EDT, Tropical Depression-Two made landfall in the western Gulf of Mexico along the Texas-Mexico border. All Tropical Storm Warnings were cancelled but the system continues to bring rain into southern Texas and northeastern Mexico. Flood, flash flood, and coastal advisories were issued for much of Texas and the western Gulf Coast. Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are expected today over portions of far northeastern Mexico and coastal Texas and isolated areas may receive up to 10 inches. Elsewhere, no tropical activity is expected within the next 48 hours.
Eastern, Central, and Western Pacific: 
No tropical cyclone activity expected in the next 48 hours.
(NOAA, JTWC)

Earthquake Activity

A magnitude 5.0 earthquake occurred on July 8 at 11:16 p.m. EDT, in southern Alaska 50 miles NNW of Anchorage at a depth of 12.9 miles. No damage or injuries were reported. (USGS)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Thursday, July 8, 2010:
 
Fire activity nationwide yesterday was light with 123 new fires reported. There are 48 large fires with one new large fire reported in New Mexico. Six large fires remain uncontained in Alaska, Colorado, and New Mexico.
(NIFC)

Disaster Declaration Activity

FEMA-1918-DR-West Virginia; Amendment #1, effective July 8, amends the major disaster declaration to make Lewis County eligible for Individual Assistance from damage caused by severe storms, flooding, mudslides and landslides that occurred June 12 and continuing.

FEMA-1918-DR-West Virginia; Amendment #2, effective July 8, amends the major disaster declaration to close the incident period effective June 29, 2010. (FEMA HQ)